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How do you forecast a good day?

PostPosted: Thu Mar 08, 2007 2:44 pm
by chris fixxy
As I live inland, its a bit of a distance to go surfing. Various websites seem to have differnet forecasts.

Whats your own personal method?

PostPosted: Thu Mar 08, 2007 2:53 pm
by ^*^BATMAN^*^
Well the big thing is knowing the break you want to go to. Like what winds it works on, and what kind of conditions. Then I look at different weather reports...and you tend to get a rough geusse if it is working or not. That or if where you are going has a surf shop, you can just call and ask them..

PostPosted: Thu Mar 08, 2007 3:06 pm
by drowningbitbybit
It's a flippin' long explanation so look here to start

The basics are you want a storm in the atlantic (Im assuming you're Uk from your use of pounds in the other thread), but not too close. Gentle winds over the UK are the way to go.

Swell, not too much wind. As a beginner thats all you really need to know for now! :wink:

PostPosted: Thu Mar 08, 2007 3:13 pm
by chris fixxy
drowningbitbybit wrote:It's a flippin' long explanation so look here to start

The basics are you want a storm in the atlantic (Im assuming you're Uk from your use of pounds in the other thread), but not too close. Gentle winds over the UK are the way to go.

Swell, not too much wind. As a beginner thats all you really need to know for now! :wink:


bloody hell thats complicated, think i am going to print some of that off and read it on the way home (screw the environment).

So how come some of the websites that forecast get completely different answers?

I am guessing its down to different data/ different formulas..

PostPosted: Thu Mar 08, 2007 3:20 pm
by drowningbitbybit
chris fixxy wrote:bloody hell thats complicated, think i am going to print some of that off and read it on the way home (screw the environment).

So how come some of the websites that forecast get completely different answers?

I am guessing its down to different data/ different formulas..


Yup, spot on.
Its get a lot easier with practise.

The different answers is due to different models. Some sites use computers to do all the work and dont work very well when it gets complicated and weird.

Other sites (like soulsurfer) are done by an individual, experienced surfer type person.

PostPosted: Thu Mar 08, 2007 5:34 pm
by Milo
Try Surfcore, for forecasts :wink:

PostPosted: Thu Mar 08, 2007 5:39 pm
by kitesurfer
Alternatively just ask DBBB on friday afternoon if he thinks there's gonna be any surf.
Easy when you know how.
*awaiting reprimand for being online and not in the shaping shack*

KS

PostPosted: Thu Mar 08, 2007 6:08 pm
by Stone Fox
chris fixxy wrote:(screw the environment).


You'll get a sore dick!

As for the forecast? I ask DBBB! :D

I really should stop being so lazy and figure out how by myself but it's so hard when you have such friendly and helpful experts here.

PostPosted: Thu Mar 08, 2007 6:08 pm
by Stone Fox
LOL!

Just noticed I'm not the first person to say "ask DBBB"!

PostPosted: Thu Mar 08, 2007 6:40 pm
by thaya
Stone Fox wrote:LOL!

Just noticed I'm not the first person to say "ask DBBB"!



........I was going to say EXACTLY the same thing :lol:

DBBB is almighty and all-knowing... (and USUALLY right!)

PostPosted: Thu Mar 08, 2007 7:30 pm
by ^*^BATMAN^*^
kitesurfer wrote:*awaiting reprimand for being online and not in the shaping shack*

KS


I'll take this one for DBBB again....

GET BACK IN YOUR SHACK!!!

PostPosted: Thu Mar 08, 2007 10:53 pm
by Phil
kitesurfer wrote:Alternatively just ask DBBB on friday afternoon if he thinks there's gonna be any surf.
Easy when you know how.
*awaiting reprimand for being online and not in the shaping shack*

KS


dont trust DBBB forcasts hes a negative xxxxx when it comes to forcasting

its not really hard to learn how to predict surf, unless you live on the south coast then it just seems to be hit and miss

PostPosted: Thu Mar 08, 2007 11:09 pm
by Otter
Pay your dime and take your chances. I live an hour from the coast as well, so I've gone down on occassion only to return home without getting wet at all. Very disappointing.

You can't rely on forecasts. Many times the forecasts are for carp waves, but you go down and find it's pretty good.

Pay your dime and take your chances.

Try magicseaweed.com

PostPosted: Fri Mar 09, 2007 7:25 am
by kitesurfer
Alternatively i just wait for the inevitable text message from phil informing me it's 4ft and glassy!

PostPosted: Fri Mar 09, 2007 8:19 am
by drowningbitbybit
Phil wrote:dont trust DBBB forcasts hes a negative xxxxx when it comes to forcasting


The negativity depends on whether I can make it to the coast or not :wink:

And anyway, Im not negative, you're just relentlessly optimistic - which is why you end up in the water with a hangover scrambling about over rocks :twisted:

PostPosted: Fri Mar 09, 2007 9:37 am
by northswell
drowningbitbybit wrote:
The basics are you want a storm in the atlantic (Im assuming you're Uk from your use of pounds in the other thread), but not too close. Gentle winds over the UK are the way to go.

Swell, not too much wind. As a beginner thats all you really need to know for now! :wink:


Why do people allways assume there is only surf in the West. If your surfing the East Coast a good rule of thumb is a nice High Pressure systerm over the UK, with a huge deep low in the Norwegian Sea.

PostPosted: Fri Mar 09, 2007 9:49 am
by pault
northswell wrote:Why do people allways assume there is only surf in the West. If your surfing the East Coast a good rule of thumb is a nice High Pressure systerm over the UK, with a huge deep low in the Norwegian Sea.


Unfortunately not going to be happening this weekend by the looks of things :cry:

PostPosted: Fri Mar 09, 2007 10:16 am
by drowningbitbybit
northswell wrote:Why do people allways assume there is only surf in the West. If your surfing the East Coast a good rule of thumb is a nice High Pressure systerm over the UK, with a huge deep low in the Norwegian Sea.


:roll:

*DBBB reaches over and removes chip from Northswells shoulder*


The reference to the atlantic is due to the fact that the author of the thread has already made reference in other threads to surfing Croyde etc.

Seeing as, in the winter at least, I mostly surf the south east/south coast you can hardly accuse me of assuming there is only surf in the west :roll:

PostPosted: Fri Mar 09, 2007 10:20 am
by chris fixxy
drowningbitbybit wrote:
northswell wrote:Why do people allways assume there is only surf in the West. If your surfing the East Coast a good rule of thumb is a nice High Pressure systerm over the UK, with a huge deep low in the Norwegian Sea.


:roll:

*DBBB reaches over and removes chip from Northswells shoulder*


The reference to the atlantic is due to the fact that the author of the thread has already made reference in other threads to surfing Croyde etc.

Seeing as, in the winter at least, I mostly surf the south east/south coast you can hardly accuse me of assuming there is only surf in the west :roll:


to be honest i am london based, after living in bouremouth for 3 years (i actually lived in boscombe in the houses facing the pier - doh) I never surfed there (too busy being a student) and only did it on holiday. I supose that will be my closest decent break, unless you count kent.

PostPosted: Fri Mar 09, 2007 10:24 am
by drowningbitbybit
chris fixxy wrote:to be honest i am london based


:lol:
I like the 'to be honest...'
Dont worry, there's lot of inland surfers here. Me, for a start (fingers crossed for a change soon)

I'll give you a PM about some of the spots you should be trying out... :wink: