I know my surf spots really well. I actually like when the surf forecast says there are poor conditions because it is often not true. I've had some of my best waves during "poor" or "flat" conditions. I see those forecasts as golden opportunities to get a surf spot without a crowd. It helps if there's no live cam. I also know that some spots look terrible on the cam when the winds kick up, but the cove around the corner is often protected from those winds and things can be firing there. The trick is to know your patch of coastline and how it responds to low/high tide, wind, morning/afternoon/evening conditions. Local knowledge is the key to getting away from the pack. It also helps if you're not picky. I'm still enough of a beginner where I'll go out in surf that some of my surfing friends don't consider worth their time. Increasingly though, there are times I skip the surf because it's just not worth putting on the wetsuit, booties, etc. and then having to rinse it all off afterwards. If I lived in Hawaii or the tropics I'd probably surf more, but I'd probably be fighting the crowd more often.